Current AVs rely on "predictive models" that assume other drivers are rational. DEVA-3 simulates irrational behavior. It can predict the "jerk" who cuts across three lanes without a blinker because it has seen that episode 10,000 times in training data. Wayve and Ghost Autonomy are rumored to be testing DEVA-3 variants on public roads in London right now.
Have you worked with video prediction models or world models? Let me know in the comments if you think DEVA-3 is overhyped or under-discussed. Disclaimer: This blog post discusses a hypothetical or emerging model architecture for illustrative purposes based on current research trends in world models (e.g., DreamerV3, UniSim, GAIA-1). No official "DEVA-3" product from a specific company is referenced.
We have tried rule-based systems (they break in the real world), end-to-end deep learning (they hallucinate), and large language models (they lack physics). But a new architecture is emerging from the labs that might finally crack the code.
They asked the model: "What happens next?"
For the last decade, the holy grail of robotics and autonomous driving has been a simple question: How do we teach machines to predict the future?